Purdue opens as big favorite against Saint Peter’s in regional semi-final, but there’s a catch

0

PHILADELPHIA, Pa. — There are eight games total in the NCAA Tournament regional semifinals on Thursday and Friday, and Purdue is the biggest favorite. According to the game site fanduel.com, the Boilermakers are 12.5 point favorites over Saint Peter’s, the current Cinderella this year.

The Peacocks are only the third No. 15 seed to advance to the tournament’s second weekend, and only the 10th to win a game, period. No No. 15 seed has ever won a game in weekend two. (For my story on the story of 15 seeds, CLICK HERE)

But here’s a number that might make you think twice before pouring money on the Boilermakers. Of the 68 teams that have participated in the NCAA Tournament, Saint Peter’s has the BEST points spread records, covering 22 of 31 games, including the last nine in a row.

Yeah really.

Purdue is 29-7 overall and has been favored in 35 of its 36 games this season. The Boilermakers actually won the only game they were underdogs, on January 17 at Illinois. But they have lost seven times as favorites in Big Ten games, both during the league and in the conference tournament, the most in the league, most recently in the Big Ten championship game against the Iowa.

The Boilermakers are 16-18-2 ATS. They were 8-8-1 in games at West Lafayette. In real road games, they were 3-6-1 ATS. In neutral court games, they are 5-4 ATS.

The Boilermakers won and covered both of their NCAA Tournament games last week after failing to cover all three of their Big Ten games a week earlier.

Scroll to continue

Here’s what the Boilermakers have done so far this season:

  • November 9 – To beat Bellarmine 96-67 as 24.5 point favorite (won)
  • November 12 – To beat Indiana State 92-67 as 22.5 point favorite (won)
  • November 16 – To beat Wright’s State 96-52 as 16-point favorite (won)
  • November 20 – Beat #18 North Carolina 93-84 in Uncasville, Conn. as 7.5 point favorite (won)
  • 21 November – Beat #5 Villanova 80-74 at Uncasville, Connecticut as 3-point favorite (won)
  • November 26 – To beat Omaha 97-40 as 36.5 point favorite (won)
  • November 30– To beat state of florida 93-65 as 11.5 point favorite (won)
  • December 3 – To beat Iowa 77-70 as 15.5 point favorite (lost)
  • December 9 — Lost at Rutgers 70-68 as 13.5 point favorite (lost)
  • December 12 – To beat NC status 82-72 in OT at Brooklyn as 14.5 point favorite (lost)
  • December 18 – To beat butler 77-48 at Indianapolis as 15.5 point favorite (won)
  • December 20 – To beat Word embodied 79-59 as 39-point favorite (lost)
  • December 29 – To beat nichols 104-90 as 28.5 point favorite (lost)
  • January 3– Lost to No. 22 Wisconsin 74-69 as 12.5 point favorite (lost)
  • January 8— Won at Penn State 74-67 as 9.5 point favorite (lost)
  • January 14– To beat Nebraska 92-65 as 20.5 point favorite (won)
  • January 17– Won at No. 17 Illinois 96-88 in 2-OT as 1.5 point underdog (won)
  • January 20 — Lost at Indiana 68-65 as 3.5 point favorite (lost)
  • January 23 – To beat North West 80-60 as 12-point favorite (won)
  • January 27 — Won at Iowa 83-73 as 2.5 point favorite (won)
  • January 30 – Beat #16 ohio state 81-78 as 9-point favorite (lost)
  • February 3 — Won at Minnesota 88-73 as 11-point favorite (won)
  • February 5 – To beat Michigan 83-76 as 9.5 point favorite (lost)
  • February 8 – Beat #13 Illinois 84-68 as 6-point favorite (won)
  • February 10 — Lost at Michigan 82-58 as 4-point favorite (lost)
  • February 13 – To beat Maryland 62-61 as 16.5 point favorite (lost)
  • February 16 — Won at North West 70-64 as 6-point favorite (push)
  • February 20 – To beat Rutgers 84-72 as 12-point favorite (push)
  • February 26 — Lost at state of michigan 68-65 as 4.5 point favorite (lost)
  • 1st of March – Lost at #10 Wisconsin 70-67 as 2.5 point favorite (lost)
  • March 5 – To beat Indiana 69-67 as 10-point favorite (lost)
  • March 11 – To beat Penn State 69-61 at Indianapolis in Big Ten Tournament as 10-5 point favorite (lost)
  • 12th of March – To beat state of michigan 75-70 at Indianapolis in Big Ten tournament as 6.5-point favorite (lost)
  • March 13 – Lost to No. 24 Iowa 75-66 at Indianapolis in Big Ten tournament as 2.5 point favorite (lost)
  • March 18 – To beat Yale 78-56 at Milwaukee in NCAA Tournament as 17-point favorite (won)
  • March 20th – To beat Texas 81-71 at Milwaukee in NCAA Tournament as x-point favorite (won)

Saint Peter’s is 21-11 overall and finished 14-6 in the Metropolitan Atlantic Athletic Conference regular season.

They are 22-9 ATS this season, which is the best ATS record of anyone in the 68-team field. (Alabama is the worst at 11-20-1.)

Here’s their full schedule and what they’ve done in relation to the points spread:

  • November 9 — Lost at VCUs 57-54 as 9-point underdog (won)
  • November 13 — Lost at St. John’s 91-70 as 13.5 point underdog (lost)
  • November 17 – AT Wagner… cancelled, covid
  • November 23 – To beat Long Island 64-62 as 9-point favorite (lost)
  • November 27 — Lost at Providence 85-71 as 12.5 point underdog (lost)
  • December 3— Won at Quinnipiac 69-59 as 4.5 point favorite (won)
  • December 5– Lost at His 60-58 as 8.5 point favorite (won)
  • December 8 – Lost at Saint-Francois-Brooklyn 71-60 as 13-point favorite (lost)
  • December 12 – To beat Nyak 87-48…no line
  • December 18 — Lost at stony stream 64-63 as 4-point underdog (won)
  • December 22 – AT Fairleigh Dickinson… cancelled, covid
  • December 28 – Vs Connecticut College cancelled, covid
  • December 31st – Vs Canisius postponed, COVID
  • January 7– Vs Iona postponed, COVID
  • January 9– AT manhattan postponed, COVID
  • January 14– To beat monmouth 67-62 as 5.5 point underdog (won)
  • January 16— Won at Rider 58-51 as 3.5 point favorite (won)
  • January 18 – To beat Canisius 65-57 as 7.5 point favorite (lost)
  • January the 21st — Won at niagara 74-68 in OT as a 1.5 point underdog (won)
  • January 23 — Lost at Canisius 63-60 as 3.5 point favorite (lost)
  • January 26 — Won at Marist 69-62 as 2-point underdog (won)
  • January 28 – To beat manhattan 77-51 as 6.5 point favorite (won)
  • January 30 — Lost at Iona 85-77 as 10.5 point underdog (won)
  • February 4 – To beat Quinnipiac 83-74 as 6.5 point favorite (won)
  • February 6 – To beat Marist 66-50 as 5.5 point favorite (won)
  • February 11th – Lost at Rider 58-49 as 6.5 point favorite (lost)
  • February 15 – Lost at Iona 70-61 as 4.5 point underdog (lost)
  • February 18 — Won at Fairfield 70-59 as 1.5 point underdog (won)
  • February 20 — Lost at His 84-70 as 2-point favorite (lost)
  • February 25 — Won at monmouth 70-65 as a 4.5 point underdog (won)
  • February 27 – To beat niagara 63-36 as 5.5 point favorite (won)
  • 1st of March — Won at manhattan 73-51 as 4.5 point favorite (won)
  • March 5 – To beat Fairfield 57-41 as 7.5 point favorite (won)
  • March 9 – To beat Fairfield 77-63 at Atlantic City in MAAC Tournament as 5-5 point favorite (won)
  • March 11 – To beat Quinnipiac 64-52 at Atlantic City in MAAC Tournament as 7.5 point favorite (won)
  • 12th of March – To beat monmouth 60-54 at Atlantic City in MAAC Tournament as 2.5 point favorite (won)
  • the 17th of March – To beat Kentucky 85-79 in OT at Indianapolis in NCAA Tournament as 18.5-point underdog (won)
  • March 19 – To beat Murray State 70-60 at Indianapolis in NCAA Tournament as 8-point underdog (won)
  • STORY OF NO. 15 SEEDS: For only the third time in NCAA Tournament history, a No. 15 seed has advanced to the regional semifinals. Saint Peter’s, a small Jesuit school in Jersey City, NJ, knocked out Kentucky Blue Bloods and Murray State, 31 wins, last week and now has a date with Purdue on Friday in Philadelphia. Cinderella stories are cute, but they usually don’t last long. A No. 15 seed never won a match in the second week of the tournament. CLICK HERE
  • NCAA SCHEDULE, RESULTS: Here’s the full schedule for weekend two of the 2022 NCAA Tournament, complete with game schedules and TV news, the latest point spreads, and all results from week one of the tournament. CLICK HERE
  • 4 THINGS ABOUT SAINT PIERRE: Here are four news nuggets on Saint Peter’s, Purdue’s opponent Friday night in the regional semifinals of the NCAA East Tournament in Philadelphia. CLICK HERE
  • MORTON SPEAKS: Purdue sophomore guard Ethan Morton scored a season-high eight points for Purdue in an 81-71 win over Texas in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. He finished the game with plus/minus odds of 18, the highest on the team, putting on his best game at the most important moment. CLICK HERE
  • PURDUE TRIUMPH OVER TEXAS: Purdue made 33 of 46 free throws in their NCAA Tournament win over Texas to advance to the Sweet 16. Trevion Williams recorded a team-high 22 points while Jaden Ivey scored 15 in the second half . CLICK HERE
  • WHAT MATT PAINTER SAID AFTER THE VICTORY OVER TEXAS: Purdue Basketball defeated Texas 81-71 in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Here’s everything coach Matt Painter had to say during the post-game press conference after the win. CLICK HERE
  • WHAT THE PLAYERS SAID AFTER THE VICTORY AGAINST TEXAS: Purdue Basketball defeated Texas 81-71 in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Here’s everything players Jaden Ivey, Trevion Williams and Ethan Morton had to say at the post-match press conference following the win. CLICK HERE
Share.

Comments are closed.